Weather

The meteorological chart below shows the recorded weather at 18:00 on the 24th March 1954 – the day of the flight just one hour prior to take-off (see the timeline). It shows temperatures in the range of 39° F to 41° F (4° C to 5°C), 20 kt NNE winds and 7 oktas of cloud coverage. The forecast was for snow on high ground.

The weather recorded at 18:00 on the day of the accident.

Reports overnight from the met station at Dishforth only a few miles north of Leeming, were of light mist and soid overcast cloud. Ceilings were at 3000 ft at the time of take off and had descended to 2500 ft by midnight with very light rain (0.2 mm) reported overnight. Visibility was 56 furlongs (11.25 km), which dropped to 24 furlongs (4.8 km) by midnight.

This is similar to eye witness reports from the inquest which stated:

“witnesses said that the cloud base at Leeming on the day of the accident was 3500ft, with a visibility of five miles”.

The inquest

Weather Reports 00 hr, 06 hr and during the night

LocationDishforth
Wind direction340
Wind speed0.4kts
Visibility24furlongs
Present Weatherblue sky
Pressure at MSL1003.2mbar
Change in last 3 hours3.3mbar
Dry bulb temperature43
Dew point41
Cloud – Low
Cloud – Med
Cloud – HighDense cirrus in patches
Total Coverage2oktas
Cloud Main body
Cloud Lowest layer
Weather Report 00 hr

LocationDishforth
Wind direction350
Wind speed17kts
Visibility7furlongs
Present Weatherintermittent drizzle overcast
Pressure at MSL1009.7mbar
Change in last 3 hours3.4mbar
Dry bulb temperature44
Dew point43
Cloud – LowCirrus
Cloud – Med
Cloud – High
Total Coverage8oktas
Cloud Main body8 oktas at 500 ft
Cloud Lowest layer
Weather Report 06 hr
LocationDishforth
Wind direction360
Wind speed16kts
Visibility48furlongs
Present Weatherovercast and drizzle
Pressure at MSL1016.5mbar
Change in last 3 hours1.9mbar
Dry bulb temperature43
Dew point37
Cloud – LowCirrus
Cloud – Med
Cloud – High
Total Coverage7oktas
Cloud Main body7 oktas at 3500 ft
Cloud Lowest layer6 oktas at 1600 ft
Weather Report 12 hr
LocationDishforth
Wind direction360
Wind speed7kts
Visibility56furlongs
Present Weatherovercast
Pressure at MSL1018.3mbar
Change in last 3 hours0.9mbar
Dry bulb temperature40
Dew point31
Cloud – LowCirrus
Cloud – Med
Cloud – High
Total Coverage7oktas
Cloud Main body7 oktas at 3000 ft
Cloud Lowest layer
Weather Report 18 hr

The original can be found here.

Working out a METAR for that Night

From the meteorological chart’s weather report, we can safely assume that, of the two runways, the main instrument runway 34 (336°) would have been operational. The stated NNE wind direction equates to a 20° wind. At 20 knots and, given the runway heading of 340, this equates to 40° angle between the runway and the wind – giving us a 13 kt crosswind as shown below.